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Saturday’s Free College Football Picks

Published on: 10th October, 2009

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Saturdays Free College Football Picks  | read this item

Below are just some of Saturday’s Free College Football Picks that you will find at WagerScore.com on a daily basis during the College Football Season. View all of Saturday’s Free College Football Picks and make sure you are on the winning side. All of Saturday’s Free College Football Picks come complete with full expert college football betting analysis so you can bet the college football games with confidence.

John Ryan

NCAA-F |  Oct 10
Wisconsin vs. Ohio State Ohio State
-15½-110
at  SIA > 5h. Here is Ryan’s strongest graded play this season yet. This 15* Titan ranks among the Top-25 strongest graded plays ever produced by his research spanning more than 16 seasons. It is reinforced by a 10-year 89% winning system and angles sporting a 44-2 ATS mark for 96% winners.
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Ohio State as they host Wisconsin set to start at 3:30 EST. AiS shows an 72% probability that Ohio State will win this game by 17 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 30-8 ATS for 79% winners since 1992. Play against road dogs of 10.5 to 21 points off an extremely close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival facing an opponent off a win against a conference rival. AiS shows an 85% probability that Ohio State will score between 29 and 25 points in this game. OSU is a solid 29-7 ATS (+21.3 Units) when they score 29 to 35 points since 1992. Wisconsin in a very poor role for this game noting that he is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus good defensive teams allowing <=310 yards/game over the last 3 seasons; 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) versus good defensive teams – allowing <=4.5 yards/play over the last 3 seasons. Take Ohio State.
NCAA-F |  Oct 10
Ball State vs. Temple
Temple
-14-110
at  BODOG
Ball State @ Temple 1:00 PM EST
Play On: Temple -14

Ball State comes in with an 0-5 record on the season while Temple is 2-2 so far this year. Ball State defense is allowing 427.6 yards per game so far this season. Temple is 11-2 ATS the past 3 years when playing on grass. Temple is 5-1 ATS last 3 years when playing in October. Ball State is allowing 39 points per game on the road this year. Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Owls are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Owls are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Owls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Owls are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games in October. Owls are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win. Owls are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Owls are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. Owls are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 conference games. Owls are 6-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. We’ll recommend a small play on Temple today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

NCAA-F |  Oct 10
UTEP vs. Memphis
Memphis
+2½-110
at  BODOG
UTEP is coming off a huge win last week over Houston and because of that one effort, the Miners are now road favorites. Granted they were road favorites over New Mexico St., arguably one of the worst teams in the country, and covered that number even though they outgained the Aggies by only 54 total yards. Even against Houston, despite winning by 17 points, UTEP was outgained by 83 yards by the Cougars as it was able to take advantage of two fumbles, one that was returned 70 yards for a touchdown. In its other games, it lost at home to Buffalo and was annihilated by both Kansas ands Texas while getting outgained by 964 yards in those games. Memphis obviously does not compare to those latter two teams mentioned but it shows that the Miners are not a very good team. The same can surely be said about Memphis as they are having a very disappointing season. At 1-4, the Tigers have yet to defeat a team from the FBS as their only win has come against FCS team Tennessee-Martin. It also happened to be the only game where they outgained their opponent which is definitely a problem. The only saving grace is the play at home where it played Mississippi real tough for three quarters and also played Marshall tough as it was outgained by just 16 yards. All of this still translates into a 1-4 record but let’s not forget who we are dealing with here. Memphis started 2007 going 2-4 and started 0-3 last season before making a strong finish and heading to a bowl game both years. The season is far from over but this is a game that is really does need to win as it cannot fall to 0-3 in C-USA action. Tigers quarterback Tyler Bass, who has started the last three games, is a question mark here due to a shoulder injury but the offense has not done much and if he can’t go, veteran Will Hudgens will get the nod which is a pretty equal trade if you ask me. I take long looks at rankings for rushing offense and defense as well as offensive and defensive passing efficiency as those are four big categories when it comes to the strength of a team. Neither of these teams is very solid in any of those areas and that is what makes this line even more puzzling. The average ranking for Memphis in those aforementioned categories is 102nd while the average for UTEP is 93rd. That is not a big difference at all and those rankings do take strength of schedule into account as the Miners have played a much tougher slate. For instance, they are 83rd in raw rushing offense but I have ranked 56th based on their schedule. By factoring in the schedules, it does not allow unfair advantages. So in this case, we are a relatively even scale yet the road team gets the chalk. Memphis falls into a very potent situation as well. Play against road teams where the line is between +3 and -3 that are getting outscored by opponents by seven or more ppg and after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 25-4 ATS (86.2 percent) since 1992 with the average point differential being +5.4 ppg. This situation is a perfect 8-0 ATS over the last five seasons and it makes logical sense as it is simply saying play against really bad teams that are wrongly favored on the road. Memphis is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games against defenses that are allowing 6.25 or more yppl (UTEP is allowing 6.26 actually). Also, the Miners are just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 games against teams that have a winning percentage worse than .250. Look for the Tigers to finally get over that FBS hump. 3* Memphis Tigers

After an even Week Five, Matt is already off to a big Week Six and has his sights on another one of his HUGE TOP PLAYS! The TOP REPORTS in football have been money as in NFLX, NFL, CFL and CFB his 10* Reports are 8-3 ATS (72.7%)! This one comes from the MWC and is backed by a Power Situation and Team Angles a combined 46-13 ATS (78%)! Do not miss another big opportunity!

If you are looking for more of Saturday’s Free College Football Picks you can find them at VernonCroy.com.

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