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NCAA-F  |  Sep 23, 2017
UCLA vs. Stanford
UCLA
+7½ -115
  at  BETONLINE
in 6h

Doc’s Sports NCAA Football Free Play. #409 Take UCLA Bruins over Stanford Cardinal (Saturday 10:30 pm ESPN) Jim Mora is a very overrated coach but taking him aside UCLA may have better talent than that of the Cardinal. Stanford is coming off back-to-back losses including last Saturday night at San Diego State, a team from a Group of Five conference. I just do not believe they will be able to run a desperate Bruin team out of the building. Stanford is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. 68% of the money is coming in on the Bruins as the spread in this game continues to drop. Doc’s Sports nailed both of their top plays in football last week including a BLOWOUT Nonconference Game of the Year winner behind Wisconsin destroying BYU. Jump on board our top plays this week and let 46 years of handicapping experience work for you. 

NCAA-F  |  Sep 23, 2017
Washington vs. Colorado
Colorado
+11 -110
  at  5DIMES
in 6h

Jeff Allen's Free Play for Saturday is on the Colorado Buffalos

Washington has dominated the series of late but Colorado played the Huskies tough in last year's Pac-12 championship game. In fact, it was 14-7 at the half with the Buffs getting the kickoffs before two second-half picks opened the floodgates. Both 3-0s are meaningless as each team opened the year with cupcakes but the Buffalo run defense is especially tough and new QB Montez does not make mistakes or turn the ball over like his predecessor Lifau. Colorado is 6-3 L9 as a home dog and the program as a whole is still on the upswing. Grab the points.

World Champion Jeff Allen was the No.2 football handicapper on this network in 2016, and the No.2 NFLX handicapper on the network this year. Allen is off a monster week 5-1 week in the NFL and his NFL totals dating back to August 9th are now on a 14-2 run after winner on the Lions/Giants Under last night. Allen is a 30+ year industry icon and you just don't last that long unless you win. 

NCAA-F  |  Sep 23, 2017
Mississippi State vs. Georgia
Georgia
-4 -110
  at  BMAKER
in 3h

Georgia -4.5 1.1% Free Play (63% career ATS backing Georgia) - 15-3-1 ATS RUN on Free Picks! 

I’ll give the play at the top of the podcast and it’s on Georgia -4.5 between the hedges for our free play of the week.  This is the most interesting match up of the week and I’m going to fade the hype of Miss State who just last week shocked LSU in their own building 37-7.  I’m not overreacting.  That was a massive coaching advantage for Miss State with Dan Mullen over Ed Orgeron as sad as it is to say.

In this game Kirby Smart has his best Georgia team and the last time he faced off against a good Miss State offense he did so as the DC at Alabama.  They went on the road and held Dak Prescott, another mobile QB to just 89 yards rushing and 6 total points.  This time a rested Georgia team hosts Miss State who just played a tough SEC game and is in a hang over spot, but let’s look at the match up a little more anyway.

For Miss State to win they must run the ball.  Last year in their losses they averaged 2.31 ypc less compared to their wins.  Nick Fitzgerald is getting some help this year from Aeris Williams who is averaging over 7 yards per carry, but this team had a very misleading victory at Louisiana Tech the week before and I expect some struggles getting that running game going this week.

Georgia defensively returns 10 starters this was a team that held Notre Dame and a mobile QB in Winbush to just 55 yards running and they did that on the road!  Notre Dame’s offense has been great against everyone else and just ran for 515 yards last week against a usual stout Boston College defense.  I believe that Miss State will have to win with the arm of Nick Fitzgerald and I don’t like his chances on the road where doesn’t have nearly as good of numbers particularly in the SEC road games where he only eclipsed a 101 QB rating once and it came against a bad pass defense in Ole Miss.  How bad is a 101 QB Rating? Illinois, last year ranked 124th in college football for the season with a 101.4 QB rating.  Fitzgerald on the road has a 107 QB rating.  Vanderbilt ranked 116th in the nation a year ago with 107 QB rating.

Georgia’s offense is not lighting it up and that may be where most of you feel comfortable with 4.5 points if you are leaning towards Miss State’s side.  A few things to look at here.  Much like Miss State Georgia must run the ball to win behind their senior RB’s Nick Chubb and Sony Michel who are both having great years so far as this offense is averaging 230 yards rushing per game.  Just so you know since 2008, Georgia is 38-4 when rushing for over 200 yards.  Miss State’s defense allowed 5.16 ypc in SEC play a year ago and allowed 200+ in 3 of their 4 road games.  Now they held LSU in check, but LSU ran it just 29 times and both of their RB’s averaged over 5 yards per carry.  I also think Jake Fromm is flying under the radar he seems to be a major upgrade over Eason.  He makes quick decisions and it has benefited the running game.

At the end of the day both teams have impressive wins against premier programs Notre Dame and LSU while also defeating some very good group of 5 teams Louisiana Tech & Appalachian State.  It should be a fun game, but I see Georgia winning this one by 7-10 points at least.

NFL  |  Sep 24, 2017
Browns vs. Colts
Browns
-1½ -110
  at  5DIMES
in 21h

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Cleveland Browns -1.5

The Cleveland Browns are clearly improved this season despite their 0-2 start.  They were competitive against two of the best teams in the NFL in the Steelers and Ravens.  They were only outgained by four total yards in those two games combined, so statistically they hung right with them.

The problem with the Browns thus far has been turnovers and special teams mistakes.  They committed five turnovers against the Ravens, yet still had numbers chances to cover the spread as 8-point dogs in a 14-point loss.  They only lost by 3 to the Steelers, and the difference in that game was a punt block that was returned for a TD by the Steelers.

Now the Browns will be motivated for a rare victory here against arguably the worst team in the NFL in the Indianapolis Colts.  The Colts are 0-2 and haven't even been competitive despite playing weaker competition.  They were outgained by 148 yards in their 9-46 loss to the Rams.  Then they were outgained by a depleted Cardinals team by 123 yards last week in a game they did not deserve to go to overtime against.  That games was a bigger blowout than the final score. The Rams and Cardinals aren't as good as the Steelers and Ravens, which is a key points here.

The Browns have the better defense, and it's not really even close.  They are giving up just 313 yards per game and 5.3 per play thus far, while the Colts are allowing 381 yards per game and 6.1 per play.  The Browns are averaging 311 yards per game and 5.3 per play on offense, so they have moved the ball fine.  The Colts are only averaging 245 yards per game and 4.4 per play.  So the Browns are basically dead even in yards per game and yards per play on the season, while the Colts are getting outgained by 136 yards per game and 1.7 yards per play.

Indianapolis is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 home games after scoring 14 points or less in two straight games.  Plays on road teams (CLEVELAND) - off a loss against a division rival, first month of the season, after closing out last season with 6 or more losses in last 8 games are 51-24 (68%) ATS since 1983.  The Browns are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  Bet the Browns Sunday.

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NFL  |  Sep 24, 2017
Saints vs. Panthers
Saints
+6 -115
  at  BOVADA
in 21h

Free Pick on Saints +

I like the value here with New Orleans catching almost a touchdown on the road against division rival Carolina. The value here comes from the Saints being 0-2 and the Panthers sitting at 2-0. I also think people look at how bad New Orleans' defense has been and how good Carolina's stop unit has played and just assume this will be a blowout. 

The thing is the Panthers offense has not looked good in their first two games. Carolina only managed 287 yards against the 49ers in Week 1, which looks a lot worse after what the Rams did to San Francisco on Thursday. They then could only manage 3 field goals against a Bills defense that was on the field all day. Another note from that game is Cam Newton was sacked 6 times and lost his favorite target in tight end Greg Olson for the season. 

I just don't think they are going to pick apart this New Orleans defense like a lot of people are saying. These are two division rivals that know each other well. At the same time, Brees and company can score on anybody and Carolina hasn't faced a passing attack this year any where close to the Saints, having gone up against Brian Hoyer and a Tyrod Taylor. 

Saints are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 under head coach Sean Payton. They are also 15-6 ATS in 21 games under Payton after 2 straight losses. Carolina is also just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 off a win, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 against division opponents. Take New Orleans! 

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NFL  |  Sep 24, 2017
Ravens vs. Jaguars
Jaguars
+3½ -115
  at  BOVADA
in 17h

Jacksonville faces an unbeaten 2-0 Ravens squad in London on Sunday morning. Jacksonville looked great winning Week 1 when beating Houston, 29-7, but fell apart last week vs Tennessee. Expect them to rebound with a winning effort across the pound knowing that 1st year HC Doug Marrone is 9-1 ATS off a loss when facing an opponent off a win. Baltimore is 2-0 but defeated division rivals Cleveland and CincinnatI, who are a winless 0-4 combined this year. Take the points with Jacksonville as they're 5-1 ATS in their last six meeting with these Ravens, including a late 19-17 loss just last year. 

10* FREE Play On Jacksonville

Don't miss Campanella's "NFC Game of the Year" on Sunday

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Jim Feist's CFB Dog of the Month - Saturday!

Jim Feist steps up with a MONSTER SURPRISE on the Saturday college football card with an undervalued squad. Go inside the stats and angles collect with Jim's CFB Dog of the Month -- because the only ones in shock will be the books!


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