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MLB  |  Jun 30, 2015
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets
Chicago Cubs
-118
  at  PINNACLE
in 3h

Tuesday Free Play from the Doc’s Sports Take #957 Chicago Cubs over New York Mets (Tuesday, 7:10pm EST) He doesn't get much fanfare, buy Kyle Hendricks has been a nice piece of the Cubs rotation since being called up last season. In 27 career starts, the young right-hander owns a 3.45 ERA and 1.15 WHIP to go along with an above-average groundball rate. He'll face a Mets lineup that is particularly weak at 14th in the NL in runs scored. To make matters worse, they're also missing three starters in David Wright, Travis d'Arnaud and Dan Murphy (who could return soon). The Mets certainly aren't above the .500 mark because of their hitting. The starting pitching has been the real key to this team, but Tuesday's starter Jon Niese has been one of the weak links in the rotation. His name has come up in trade rumors recently, with the Cubs actually noted as one of the teams interested. Niese is just 3-7 with a 4.12 ERA and ugly 1.52 WHIP. His control has been particularly bad of late as Niese has walked nine batters over his last three outings. The Cubs are a patient team that sees a lot of pitches, so they should be able to exploit Niese in this contest. If Hendricks gives another solid effort, the Cubs should win this one.

MLB  |  Jun 30, 2015
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
-112
  at  5DIMES
in 6h

Free Pick on Padres -

San Diego took 2 of 3 at home against the Diamondbacks over the weekend for their first series win in their last 6. I look for them to keep the momentum going here against  the struggling Mariners, who are just 2-5 in their last 7.

Seattle's Mike Montgomery pitched a complete game shutout in his last start, limiting the Royals to just 4 hits with 10 strikeouts. That was an emotional start for Montgomery, who wanted to show the team that drafted him they made a mistake by letting him go. Not only do I look for Montgomery to suffer a bit of a letdown, he's also coming off a career-high 105 pitches. It's also worth noting that the Padres are 8-2 against rookie starters this season.

San Diego counters with Ian Kennedy, who is way undervalued at the moment due to his 5.09 ERA on the season. Kennedy has been dominant of late, posting a 1.42 ERA over his last 3 starts. He allowed just 1 earned run in each of those 3 outings, while giving up a total of 13 hits in 19 innings.

Padres are 35-16 in their last 51 home games when listed as the favorite and a perfect 4-0 in Kennedy's last 4 starts following a team loss. Mariners on the other hand are just 1-7 in their last 8 interleague road games against a team with a losing record. Take San Diego!

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MLB  |  Jun 30, 2015
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
-109
  at  PINNACLE
in 3h

Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Pittsburgh Pirates -109

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a massive edge on the mound today over the Detroit Tigers.  I'll back them at a very generous price with 2015 NL Cy Young contender Gerrit Cole taking the ball against the washed-up Justin Verlander.

Cole has been brilliant this season, developing into the dominant ace that many expected him to be when he came into the league. The right-hander is 11-3 with a 2.26 ERA and 1.139 WHIP in 15 starts, including 6-1 with a 1.71 ERA and 1.101 WHIP in eight road starts.  Cole has faced Detroit once this year back on April 13th, giving up just one earned run over six innings while striking out eight in a 5-4 Pirates' victory.

Verlander has lost it over the past couple seasons.  He has returned from injury this season to make just two starts, and neither were very impressive.  Verlander has gone 0-1 with a 6.17 ERA and 1.371 WHIP while allowing 8 earned runs and 4 homers over 11 2/3 innings pitched.

Cole is 10-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season.  Pittsburgh is 24-11 in its last 35 games overall.  The Pirates are 35-16 in Cole's last 51 starts, and 22-7 in his last 29 starts as a favorite.  Pittsburgh is also 6-0 in Cole's last six interleague starts.  Bet the Pirates Tuesday.

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