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NBA  |  Feb 01, 2015
Los Angeles Lakers vs. New York Knicks
New York Knicks
-3-105
  at  BMAKER
in 2h

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: New York Knicks -3

The New York Knicks are showing solid value as only 3-point home favorites over the lowly Los Angeles Lakers Sunday.  They come into this game playing some of their best basketball of the season and should have a great chance of running away with this one.

The Knicks have gone 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  They have wins over New Orleans, Philadelphia, Orlando and Oklahoma City during this stretch, where they have gone 3-0 at home.  Both of their losses came on the road to Charlotte and Indiana, and their loss to Indiana was a tough spot as it was the second of a back-to-back off a huge home win over the Thunder.

The Lakers are getting too much respect from oddsmakers because they are coming off a huge upset win over the Chicago Bulls last time out.  Well, they had lost nine straight while going 1-6-2 ATS in their previous nine games prior to that victory.  They are also without Kobe Bryant for the rest of the season.

New York is 14-2 ATS versus good ball handling teams that commit 14 or fewer turnovers per game in the second half of the season over the last two seasons.  Los Angeles is 27-46 ATS after covering two of its last three against the spread over the last three seasons.  The Lakers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five road games.  The home team is a perfect 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.  Bet the Knicks Sunday.

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NCAA-B  |  Feb 01, 2015
Cincinnati vs. East Carolina
East Carolina
+10-104
  at  PINNACLE
in 1h

East Carolina is off to a 1-7 start in the AAC and while things may not look like they will improve today, the Pirates are in a great spot while catching a great number. Last Saturday, they nearly handed Tulsa its first conference loss, then they went on the road and put a scare into Memphis on Wednesday. East Carolina is 7-3 at home with its only bad loss being against Tulane as the other two defeats were by four and two points. The road has been a different story as the Pirates are 0-7 with one of those losses coming at Cincinnati in January by 21 points so they will be out for some payback today. The Bearcats were favored by 14.5 points in that game so the line difference for the venue shift does not correlate. Cincinnati is in a dreadful spot here as it is coming off a big home win over Connecticut on Thursday, its fourth straight victory and it then has to travel to 9-1 SMU in its next game. Since conference play began, East Carolina has been the best three-point shooting team in the AAC connecting on 38.9 percent and making a league-best 9.3 three-pointers per game. The Bearcats are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 road games while the Pirates are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a losing road record. Play (812) East Carolina Pirates

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NCAA-B  |  Feb 01, 2015
California vs. Washington
California
+7½-110
  at  BMAKER
in 3h

Free Pick on Cal +

The Golden Bears come into this game off an impressive 76-67 road win over Washington State as a 2.5-point underdog, but are still not getting any sort of respect due to the fact that they are just 1-6 ATS over their last 7 games. I look for Cal to build off that win and at worst keep it close enough to cover against Washington.

The Huskies aren't exactly coming into this one playing with a ton of confidence. Washington followed up a 56-77 blowout loss at Utah with a double-digit loss at home against Stanford (74-84). You also have to like the fact that Cal defeated the Huskies at home 75-81 earlier this season, which is only going to add to their confidence heading into this matchup.

The Huskies are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games after trailing by 5+ points at the half in each of their last 3 games, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 conference games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 off a SU loss. Cal on the other hand is a solid 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games against strong defensive teams that are allowing 64 or fewer points/game 15+ games into the season.

Adding to all of this is a strong system. Road teams that have failed to cover the spread in 12 or more of their last 15, who are a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) going up against a team with a winning record are 56-25 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a 69% system in favor of the Golden Bears. Take Cal!

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