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NFL  |  Nov 23, 2014
Cleveland Browns vs. Atlanta Falcons
Total
47 ov-109
  at  PINNACLE
in 21h

Fresh off last night's winner (SD State) & already off to a winning start to this week's football, Ben Burns is anticipating ANOTHER massive weekend.

A model of consistency, Burns finishes "in the black" nearly every month.

He's currently riding a long-term streak which has generated $99,305 in profits. 

Here, Ben takes a look at the Browns/Falcons.

Both the Browns and Falcons been profitable "under" teams in recent weeks. This one figures to feature plenty of points though. 

While they were designated the home team for the game at London, the Falcons have actually played only three games here at the Georgia Dome this season. 

Those games had final combined scores of 71, 70 and 40, an average of greater than 60. 

Meanwhile, the Browns' road games have been higher-scoring than their games at home.

If the line stays at 47 or less, consider a play on the Over. (No play if line goes higher.)

NCAA-F  |  Nov 22, 2014
Oklahoma State vs. Baylor
Baylor
-29-110
  at  BMAKER
in 3h

Free Play

Oklahoma State is a bad football team.  The Cowboys have lost four straight games games by 33, 24, 34, and 21 point margins.  Their offense scored 14 points or less in all four of those games (9, 10, 14, and 7).  Oklahoma State has underperformed on both sides of the ball this season.  The Cowboys’ offense is averaging just 5.2 yards per play versus defenses that allow 5.6 yards per play.  Oklahoma State’s defense is giving up 30 points per game on 5.7 yards per play.

Baylor comes into this game fresh off their bye, so they will be ready to fire their best shot, especially since they are playing with revenge after losing 49-17 at Oklahoma State last season.  Baylor has a prolific offense that is averaging 50.1 points per game on 6.6 yards per play, including an incredible 59.0 points and 686 yards per game (7.4 yppl) at home .  The Bears’ defense is much improved this season as they are holding opponents to just 21.0 points per game on 4.6 yards per play (versus opponents that average 27.2 ppg and 5.4 yppl).  Baylor needs blowout wins in order to move up the playoff rankings, and they now get the perfect opponent to run up the score.  This game is a complete mismatch, so lay the points with Baylor on Saturday night.

NFL  |  Nov 23, 2014
Miami Dolphins vs. Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos
-6½-105
  at  BMAKER
in 1d

NFL Free Pick on Denver Broncos -

It’s hard to not like the Broncos at home coming laying just a touchdown, especially off that embarrassing loss to the Rams. Denver is a perfect 5-0 at home this season with all 5 wins coming by at least a touchdown. Adding to this is the fact that all 19 of the Broncos wins at home (19-2) since they acquired Peyton Manning have come by at least 7 points.

Denver has followed up each of their two previous losses this season with blowout wins. They knocked off the Cardinals 41-20 after losing to Seattle and destroyed the Raiders by a near identical score 41-17 after losing to the Patriots. Adding to this is that with Manning the Broncos have followed up each of their last 7 regular season losses with a win the next week by at least 7 points.

The only real concern with Denver in this game is that Julius Thomas is listed as questionable. If Thomas wasn't able to play, it would definitely be a big blow to the Broncos, but they have a number of quality receivers. As long as Manning is on top of his game and you have to expect he will be after last week, Denver’s offense is going to be able to move the football and put up points.

Another thing to take into consideration with this matchup is that Miami hasn’t been nearly as impressive on the road as they have at home. While the Dolphins have a 3-2 road record, two of their wins came against two of the worst teams in the league in Jacksonville and Oakland and the other was against the Bears, who have not played well at home. They lost 10-29 at Buffalo in Week 2 and most recently at Detroit 16-20.

Miami has played extremely well defensively and come in with the 2nd ranked pass defense (208.0 ypg), but Denver is 16-4 ATS in their last 20 home games against teams who are allowing 5.7 or less passing yards/attempt and have won these games by an average score of 26.2 to 17.4. The Broncos also 13-4 ATS in their last 17 after playing their last game on the road and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when listed as a home favorite of 7-points or less. Take Denver!

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NFL  |  Nov 23, 2014
Washington Redskins vs. San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers
-9-107
  at  PINNACLE
in 1d

Free NFL Football Prediction From Doc’s Sports: Take #274 San Francisco over Washington (4 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 15) Washington is a mess right now. They are arguing with one another, and the rookie coach is having big trouble in the locker room. But this team isn’t very good, either. They were blown out by 20 points at home against a bad Tampa Bay team last week. I don’t think they are going to be competitive on the road against a strong San Francisco team. The 49ers have back-to-back road wins over the Saints and Giants, and they are happy to be home. San Fran has gone 5-2 ATS in its last seven games. They have injury problems, but the next man up is stepping up for them. This is a solid locker room that has been to three straight NFC Title games. They are the opposite of the Redskins in that they have experience and a strong group of leaders. The Redskins are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games, and they are 3-8 ATS on the road. The 49ers should dominate this one, and I plan on dominating another football week. 

NBA  |  Nov 22, 2014
Philadelphia 76ers vs. New York Knicks
Philadelphia 76ers
+11½-110
  at  PINNACLE
in 3h


11/22 04:35 PM  NBA   (707) PHILADELPHIA 76ERS VS (708) NEW YORK KNICKS
Take: (707) PHILADELPHIA 76ERS.
Reason: Your free play for Saturday, November 22, 2014 is in the NBA contest between the 76ers and Knicks in New York. Philly has struggled badly, except when it comes to covering the Las Vegas number! That's because they are undervalued as a big dog every game, on 16-6 ATS against the Eastern Conference and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. While Philly is in last place in the East, the team right above them is the NY Knicks. New York is rested, but got blown out again, this time by the banged up Minnesota Timbervolves, 115-99. New York is 24th in the NBA in scoring, 28th in rebounds and 20th in points allowed. The Minnesota Timberwolves were coming off consecutive blowout losses to end a six-game road trip, were missing three starters and had two other key veterans getting IV fluids before the game just to suit up. Carmelo Anthony had 20 points and Amare Stoudemire added 19 for the Knicks. But New York's 23 turnovers led to 28 points by Minnesota, and the Knicks got swept in the Milwaukee-Minnesota back-to-back. Knicks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games, 1-6 ATS overall. The 76ers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and when these East rivals meet the underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Play the 76ers.

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AFC Total of the Month

Here's my one and only total I'm releasing on the web this weekend for the NFL. Get this game from me, 2-time World Champion Handicapper Jeff Allen.


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