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NCAA-B  |  Jan 17, 2018
Villanova vs. Georgetown
+13 -115
in 4h

Jack’s Free Pick Wednesday: Georgetown +13 

The Villanova Wildcats are laying a few too many points on the road to Georgetown here tonight.  I’ll gladly take the value and back the motivated Hoyas at home here.  They’ll be looking to prove that they are a team on the rise with an upset victory. 

Georgetown has certainly been undervalued in recent weeks.  The Hoyas are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.  They have played four of their last five games on the road and will be more than happy to be playing at home tonight.  Georgetown is 9-3 at home this season. 

Villanova is just 1-3 ATS in its last four games overall.  The Wildcats have not played well at all in their last two road games.  They lost 93-101 at Butler as 6-point favorites and only beat St. Johns 78-71 as 12-point road favorites.   

That’s the same St. John’s team that Georgetown just beat 69-66 as 6.5-point road underdogs on January 9th.  And Georgetown only lost by 2 in overtime to Butler 89-91.  The Hoyas are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a loss.  The Hoyas are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home meetings with the Wildcats.  Bet Georgetown Wednesday.

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NCAA-B  |  Jan 17, 2018
Villanova vs. Georgetown
158 -110
  at  5DIMES
in 4h

Free Pick on Villanova/Georgetown UNDER

My money is on this game being a lot lower scoring than what you expect and thus I think there's some solid value here with the UNDER. This is one of the bigger rivalries in college basketball, which dates back to Villanova's win over the Hoyas in the 1985 championship game. That level of hatred for the opponent has players laying everything on the line. That intensity shows itself the most on the defensive side of the ball. 

You have to go back to 2010 to find the last game in the series that finished with more than the number posted here. Each of the last 12 have all finished below the mark. The UNDER is also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings at Georgetown. 

It's worth noting that the Hoyas know they can't come into this game and try to outscore the Wildcats. Their best chance of winning this game is to ugly it up and try to get Villanova out of sync offensively. These are also two very good defensive teams, which only adds value to this staying below the mark. 

UNDER is 13-4 in the Wildcats last 17 games against a team with a winning record after they have played 15 or more games. It's also 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs teams who play good defense and are called for fewer than 17 fouls/game. 

UNDER is also 12-3 in the Hoyas last 15 home games and is 4-0 in their last 4 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 7-0 in their last 7 at home with a total of 150 to 159.5. Take the UNDER!  

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