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Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 25, 2017
Astros vs. Rangers
  at  GTBETS
in 3h

Free Pick on Rangers +

I like the value here with Texas as short home dog against division rival Houston on Monday. The Astros are in a difficult spot here coming off a loss to the Angels at home on Sunday Night Baseball. I look for the Rangers to take advantage of that opportunity and keep their season alive with a win here. Texas' playoff hopes are hanging on by a threat, as they need to basically win out and get some help. I just don't see this team throwing in the towel until it's official. 

I also like the pitching matchup here for the Rangers. Texas sends out Andrew Cashner, who has a sensational 2.71 ERA in 12 home starts and also owns a respectable 3.65 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in 7 career starts against the Astros. Houston counters with Collin McHugh, who has an ugly 5.28 ERA in 6 road starts this season and a 4.71 ERA in his career against Texas. 

Rangers are 7-3 in their last 10 home games after a road trip of 7 or more days and are an impressive 9-2 in their last 11 against a top level team that is winning more than 60% of their games. Take Texas! 

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Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 24, 2017
Saints vs Panthers
+6 -115 at Bovada
Play Type: Free

Free Pick on Saints +

I like the value here with New Orleans catching almost a touchdown on the road against division rival Carolina. The value here comes from the Saints being 0-2 and the Panthers sitting at 2-0. I also think people look at how bad New Orleans' defense has been and how good Carolina's stop unit has played and just assume this will be a blowout. 

The thing is the Panthers offense has not looked good in their first two games. Carolina only managed 287 yards against the 49ers in Week 1, which looks a lot worse after what the Rams did to San Francisco on Thursday. They then could only manage 3 field goals against a Bills defense that was on the field all day. Another note from that game is Cam Newton was sacked 6 times and lost his favorite target in tight end Greg Olson for the season. 

I just don't think they are going to pick apart this New Orleans defense like a lot of people are saying. These are two division rivals that know each other well. At the same time, Brees and company can score on anybody and Carolina hasn't faced a passing attack this year any where close to the Saints, having gone up against Brian Hoyer and a Tyrod Taylor. 

Saints are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 under head coach Sean Payton. They are also 15-6 ATS in 21 games under Payton after 2 straight losses. Carolina is also just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 off a win, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 against division opponents. Take New Orleans! 

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Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 24, 2017
Steelers vs Bears
+7½ -115 at Bovada
Play Type: Premium

3* NFL Situational 'UNDERVALUED UNDERDOG'  on Bears +

I really like the value here with Chicago catching over a touchdown at home against the Steelers. Pittsburgh comes in 2-0 and are a big public team, which has this line inflated. What people continue to overlook with this Steelers team is they don't play as well on the road. Most notably quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. If you look back to Week 1, they barely held on to beat the Browns 21-18 in Cleveland and that was with the Browns spotting them a touchdown on blocked punt. 

Chicago got rolled last week by the Bucs on the scoreboard, but it was a more evenly matched game than the 29-7 final would indicate. The total yardage was nearly identical with Tampa Bay at 311 and the Bears at 310. The difference being Chicago finishing with a -3 turnover margin. We saw the Bears keep it within a TD at home against the Falcons in Week 1 and expect them to do the same here. 

This has historically been a good spot to back the Bears, as they are 38-22 ATS in their last 60 home games after 2 or more consecutive losses and have actually won these games on average by nearly 3 ppg. Steelers are 6-15 ATS under Tomlin in road games in the first month of the season, while Bears head coach John Fox is 18-4 as a head coach when his team trailed in the previous game by 14 or more points at the half. Take Chicago! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 24, 2017
Raiders vs Redskins
+3½ -120 at Bovada
Play Type: Premium

3* Raiders/Redskins SNF 'HEAVY HITTER' on Redskins +

The Raiders are one of the biggest publicly backed teams going right now and I love fading the public in these Sunday Night games, as we know we are getting a good price on the other side. That's certainly the case here with Washington as a 3.5-point home dog. 

Washington was better than the final score in their opener against the Eagles, as they actually had the ball driving for the game-winning score and lost a fumble that was returned for a TD and lost by 13. They responded very well in Week 2 at LA, taking down what I think is a very improved Rams team. I expect a big time effort here with them getting no love at home in a prime time game and could also see the Raiders coming in with a bit of a big head after that 25-point blowout win against the Jets. 

I still have a lot of concerns with that Oakland defense and that really makes them hard to trust as a road favorite. Let's also not forget how fortunate this team was in close games last year. Washington is a solid 6-1 ATS in their last 7 against a team with a winning record and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Take Washington! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 24, 2017
Bengals vs Packers
+8 -115 at Bovada
Play Type: Premium

4* NFL No Doubt ATS 'BLOWOUT' on Bengals +

The Bengals have looked as bad as any team to start the season and I believe it has them way undervalued here as a big road dog against the Packers. Cincinnati fired their offensive coordinator and simply can't be as bad as they have been on offense going forward. The Bengals red zone efficiency is in uncharted territory and is going to improve. 

Green Bay gets a lot of love because of Aaron Rodgers, but I see a lot of concerns with this team. They got a ton of key guys injured and are not putting up near the offensive numbers you would expect given they got Rodgers. They didn't score an offensive touchdown until the final minute of the 3rd quarter in their opener against the Seahawks and had just 10-points against the Falcons before adding on a couple late scores with the game basically out of reach. 

While the offense has struggled, Cincinnati's defense has played well to start the year. I think they give the Packers trouble here. We also know we are getting a desperate Bengals team that doesn't want to start out 0-3. I don't know that they can avoid that, but I do expect them to keep this close. Take Cincinnati! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 24, 2017
Broncos vs Bills
+3½ -110 at Bovada
Play Type: Top Premium

5* AFC Vegas Insider 'GAME OF THE MONTH' on Bills +

I really like the value with Buffalo catching over a field goal at home against the Broncos. This is a big time letdown spot for Denver, who has started out 2-0 and off that huge win at home over the Cowboys.

The Bills on the other hand are just 1-1 and not a team the public wants a whole lot to do with, but they have played well early on. Buffalo handled the Jets at home in rather convincing fashion and despite an offense that couldn't move the ball, hung in their with the Panthers on the road in week 2. 

The Bills managed just 176 total yards in last week's game against Carolina, but that's actually a positive when it comes to covering the spread this week. Buffalo is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a performance where they totaled less than 250 yards. 

Denver on the other hand is just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a win by more than 14 points and are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against the Bills. Take Buffalo! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 24, 2017
Ravens vs Jaguars
+3½ -105 at Bovada
Play Type: Premium

4* Jaguars/Ravens NFL London ATS 'NO BRAINER' on Jags +

I like the value here with the Jaguars in Sunday's early game in London. These are two very similar teams that want to run the football and let their defense do the work. Both have been really strong defensively and I just think the 3.5-points is too good to pass up here.

Baltimore has looked great to start, but let's not overreact to beating up on a Bengals team that might have the worse offensive line in the NFL and taking down the Browns at home. Turnovers have really aided both wins for the Ravens, who have a ridiculous 10 takeaways (8 interceptions) in two games.

What's getting overlooked is the Ravens offense hasn't been good and this team will struggle to win if they don't get those turnovers. Baltimore was actually outgained by the Browns last week and only had a 268-221 edge in total yards in their 20-0 win over the Bengals. Another thing here with Baltimore is the injuries are really starting to pile up and they will be without several key pieces for this one. 

Ravens are 0-6 ATS over the last 2 seasons after 2 straight games in which they held their opponent to 99 yards or less. We also find a strong system in play on the Jaguars. Teams that had a turnover margin of -1/game or worse the previous year are an impressive 24-8 (75%) the last 10 seasons against the spread the next year in conference games. Take Jacksonville! 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 25, 2017
Royals vs Yankees
-165 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

4* MLB Early Bird 'VEGAS INSIDER' on Yankees - 

New York needs a win here to clinch home field for the Wild Card game and I expect them to do just that against the struggling Royals who are all but out of the playoff picture. Tough spot here for KC, as this is a make-up game, which has them taking a quick flight from Chicago, where they concluded a series yesterday, to New York for an early game. I just don't see the Royals being on of their game here. 

I also like the pitching matchup for the Yankees. New York sends out C.C. Sabathia, who is coming off a strong showing at home last time out against the Twins, allowing just 2 runs in 6 innings of work. Sabathia also has a strong track record against the Royals with a 3.11 ERA in his career. He's faced them once this season and allowed just 5 hits over 6 2/3 shutout innings.

KC counters with Jake Junis, who has a not so great 4.70 ERA in 8 road starts. While Junis pitched well in his last outing, he's just 1-4 against the money line following a Quality Start. KC is also 0-5 ATS in their last 5 series openers and 3-9 in their last 12 road games games against a team with a winning record! Take New York! 


Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come.

Here are a few of his top plays:

No Brainer: This is one of Jimmy’s highest rated plays. After reading his write-up on the game you will see why this play’s title is so fitting. These picks are reserved for major mismatch advantages and strong value plays.

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Off a MASSIVE 10-2 WEEKEND, Ben Burns serves up his latest "BREAKFAST CLUB." Burns' most recent BREAKFAST CLUB resulted in a 44-7 DESTRUCTION, as underdog Jacksonville BLUDGEONED Baltimore. Here's a game which has all the makings of ANOTHER MONUMENTAL B-E-A-T-D-O-W-N. As per usual, this one kicks off BRIGHT AND EARLY. Dont' get caught sleeping in!

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