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Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 21, 2017
Pirates vs Rockies
OVER 12 +105 Won
Play Type: Premium

Pittsburgh will begin a 3-game series in Colorado on Friday night.  The Pirates will start Trevor Williams in this game.  My numbers project Williams to get hit hard by the Rockies.  He is slated to give up 3.3 earned runs with a horrendous 6.03 ERA and an ugly 1.63 WHIP against Colorado.  The righty also projects to have a weak 6.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a lowly 2.2 strikeout/walk ratio tonight.  Williams has pitched poorly on the road all season.  He has given up 19 earned runs on 39 hits in his 33.1 innings of work away from home.  The Pittsburgh starter has earned a woeful 5.13 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in those outings.  The Rockies’ lineup comes into this game in excellent current form as they are hitting .341 as a team while averaging a whopping 9.1 runs per game over their last seven games.  Colorado’s offense also averages 6.2 runs per game at home, so expect Williams’ road struggles to continue in the thin air and altitude tonight.

Colorado will send Jeff Hoffman to the mound tonight.  Hoffman is projected to have a rough outing against Pittsburgh’s lineup based on my numbers.  He is slated to give up 3.5 runs with an awful 6.01 ERA and a terrible 1.69 WHIP in this game.  The righty has pitched poorly at home all season.  He has given up 21 earned runs on 33 hits in his 29.1 innings of work in Coor’s Field.  The Colorado starter has earned a woeful 6.44 ERA and a weak 1.53 WHIP in those outings.  Hoffman is backed by a Colorado bullpen that has a 5.47 ERA at home this year.  The Pirates’ lineup has been at their best on the road this season.  Pittsburgh’s offense is averaging 4.7 runs per game away from home, and they’ve scored 30 total runs in their last five road games.  We expect a high-scoring game between Pittsburgh and Colorado on Friday night.

10* Play OVER the total.


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